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Evaluation

deepseek-v3.2

Team BAL

ID 5c367e08 openrouter Started 2026-01-09THH24:25:58Z
Score
0.488
W / L
24 / 26
Run diff
14

Run overview

Model
deepseek-v3.2 (deepseek/deepseek-v3.2)
Task
season_simulation_agent
Team
BAL
Agent
openrouter
Started
2026-01-09THH24:25:58Z
Completed
2026-01-09THH24:32:06Z
Notes
admin_start games=50 mu_for=4.981481481481482 mu_against=4.185185185185185 seed=None team=BAL season=2023 source=pybaseball

Games

Res For Against Diff Cum W-L
1 W 5 2 3 1-0
2 L 2 3 -1 1-1
3 L 5 7 -2 1-2
4 W 5 4 1 2-2
5 W 9 5 4 3-2
6 L 2 4 -2 3-3
7 W 6 5 1 4-3
8 W 5 4 1 5-3
9 W 5 1 4 6-3
10 W 5 0 5 7-3
11 W 10 8 2 8-3
12 W 5 2 3 9-3
13 L 5 7 -2 9-4
14 L 3 4 -1 9-5
15 L 2 4 -2 9-6
16 L 3 4 -1 9-7
17 W 3 1 2 10-7
18 L 4 5 -1 10-8
19 L 4 6 -2 10-9
20 L 3 4 -1 10-10
21 W 6 5 1 11-10
22 L 0 4 -4 11-11
23 L 4 8 -4 11-12
24 L 4 5 -1 11-13
25 W 7 4 3 12-13
26 L 2 4 -2 12-14
27 W 5 4 1 13-14
28 W 8 4 4 14-14
29 L 7 8 -1 14-15
30 L 4 7 -3 14-16
31 W 4 3 1 15-16
32 L 3 4 -1 15-17
33 W 9 3 6 16-17
34 L 4 7 -3 16-18
35 W 5 2 3 17-18
36 L 5 6 -1 17-19
37 W 4 3 1 18-19
38 W 11 4 7 19-19
39 W 6 5 1 20-19
40 L 4 5 -1 20-20
41 L 2 5 -3 20-21
42 L 2 4 -2 20-22
43 W 5 2 3 21-22
44 L 2 5 -3 22-23
45 W 6 2 4 22-22
46 L 1 5 -4 22-24
47 L 4 5 -1 22-25
48 L 5 6 -1 22-26
49 W 5 4 1 23-26
50 W 6 4 2 24-26

Logs

Timestamp Type Role Message Rationale
2026-01-09THH24:32:06Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9], 'positions': ['CF', 'SS', 'RF', '3B', '1B', 'DH', 'LF', 'C', '2B']} Optimizing lineup based on current player performance and matchups to maximize run scoring potential.
2026-01-09THH24:32:06Z game engine Game 1: W 5-2
2026-01-09THH24:32:06Z progress engine Progress: 1/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:06Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} No specific data provided; default lineup adjustment to optimize batting order based on typical performance metrics.
2026-01-09THH24:32:07Z game engine Game 2: L 2-3
2026-01-09THH24:32:07Z progress engine Progress: 2/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:07Z decision agent adjust_mu {}
2026-01-09THH24:32:07Z game engine Game 3: L 5-7
2026-01-09THH24:32:07Z progress engine Progress: 3/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:07Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent losses suggest lineup optimization needed to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:08Z game engine Game 4: W 5-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:08Z progress engine Progress: 4/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:08Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent performance suggests lineup optimization needed to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:08Z game engine Game 5: W 9-5
2026-01-09THH24:32:08Z progress engine Progress: 5/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:08Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9], 'changes': 'Swap cleanup and 5th hitter based on recent OPS trends'} Recent game differentials show inconsistency; optimizing lineup to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:09Z game engine Game 6: L 2-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:09Z progress engine Progress: 6/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:09Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent inconsistent run differentials suggest optimizing lineup to boost offensive consistency.
2026-01-09THH24:32:09Z game engine Game 7: W 6-5
2026-01-09THH24:32:09Z progress engine Progress: 7/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:09Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Optimize batting order based on recent performance data.
2026-01-09THH24:32:09Z game engine Game 8: W 5-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:10Z progress engine Progress: 8/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:10Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent close games suggest lineup optimization needed to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:10Z game engine Game 9: W 5-1
2026-01-09THH24:32:10Z progress engine Progress: 9/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:10Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent positive run differentials suggest current lineup is effective; no change needed to maintain momentum.
2026-01-09THH24:32:10Z game engine Game 10: W 5-0
2026-01-09THH24:32:11Z progress engine Progress: 10/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:11Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent positive run differentials suggest lineup is effective; maintaining current order to sustain momentum.
2026-01-09THH24:32:11Z game engine Game 11: W 10-8
2026-01-09THH24:32:11Z progress engine Progress: 11/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:11Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent close games suggest lineup optimization needed to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:12Z game engine Game 12: W 5-2
2026-01-09THH24:32:12Z progress engine Progress: 12/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:12Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent close losses suggest optimizing batting order to maximize run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:12Z game engine Game 13: L 5-7
2026-01-09THH24:32:12Z progress engine Progress: 13/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:12Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent scoring deficits suggest lineup optimization needed to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:13Z game engine Game 14: L 3-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:13Z progress engine Progress: 14/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:13Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup': ['player1', 'player2', 'player3', 'player4', 'player5', 'player6', 'player7', 'player8', 'player9'], 'order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Optimizing lineup based on recent performance trends to boost offensive output.
2026-01-09THH24:32:13Z game engine Game 15: L 2-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:13Z progress engine Progress: 15/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:13Z decision agent adjust_mu {'adjustment': -0.05} Recent losses suggest slight overestimation; small downward adjustment to improve win probability calibration.
2026-01-09THH24:32:14Z game engine Game 16: L 3-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:14Z progress engine Progress: 16/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:14Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent losses suggest lineup optimization needed to boost scoring.
2026-01-09THH24:32:14Z game engine Game 17: W 3-1
2026-01-09THH24:32:14Z progress engine Progress: 17/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:14Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'changes': [{'player_id': 'best_hitter_id', 'new_position': '3', 'new_order': 1}, {'player_id': 'high_obp_player_id', 'new_position': 'DH', 'new_order': 2}, {'player_id': 'power_hitter_id', 'new_position': '4', 'new_order': 3}]} Recent losses suggest offensive struggles; optimizing lineup to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:15Z game engine Game 18: L 4-5
2026-01-09THH24:32:15Z progress engine Progress: 18/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:15Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent close losses suggest optimizing lineup for run creation; default order is a placeholder for data-driven reordering.
2026-01-09THH24:32:15Z game engine Game 19: L 4-6
2026-01-09THH24:32:15Z progress engine Progress: 19/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:15Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'changes': [{'position': 'DH', 'player_id': 'best_contact_hitter'}, {'position': 'cleanup', 'player_id': 'highest_ops_vs_opp_pitcher'}]} Recent close losses suggest need for better situational hitting; optimizing lineup to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:16Z game engine Game 20: L 3-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:16Z progress engine Progress: 20/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:16Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent losses suggest lineup optimization needed to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:16Z game engine Game 21: W 6-5
2026-01-09THH24:32:16Z progress engine Progress: 21/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:16Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [3, 1, 4, 5, 2, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent scoring inconsistency suggests lineup optimization needed to boost early run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:17Z game engine Game 22: L 0-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:17Z progress engine Progress: 22/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:17Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [3, 1, 4, 2, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent losses suggest lineup optimization needed to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:17Z game engine Game 23: L 4-8
2026-01-09THH24:32:17Z progress engine Progress: 23/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:17Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent losses suggest lineup underperformance; reordering to optimize OBP and power.
2026-01-09THH24:32:17Z game engine Game 24: L 4-5
2026-01-09THH24:32:18Z progress engine Progress: 24/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:18Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9], 'changes': 'Swap cleanup hitter with leadoff to boost early scoring'} Recent close losses suggest lineup optimization needed for better run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:18Z game engine Game 25: W 7-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:18Z progress engine Progress: 25/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:18Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent poor run differentials suggest offensive inefficiency; optimizing lineup to maximize OBP and slugging.
2026-01-09THH24:32:19Z game engine Game 26: L 2-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:19Z progress engine Progress: 26/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:19Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9], 'changes': 'Swap leadoff and cleanup hitters to boost early OBP and power in middle.'} Recent negative run differentials suggest lineup underperforming; reshuffle to optimize OBP/power sequencing.
2026-01-09THH24:32:19Z game engine Game 27: W 5-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:19Z progress engine Progress: 27/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:19Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9], 'changes': 'Swap positions 2 and 4 to increase OBP at the top and power in cleanup'} Recent run differentials show inconsistency; optimizing lineup to improve early scoring and run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:20Z game engine Game 28: W 8-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:20Z progress engine Progress: 28/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:20Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent run differentials show inconsistency; optimizing lineup to maximize on-base and power sequencing.
2026-01-09THH24:32:21Z game engine Game 29: L 7-8
2026-01-09THH24:32:21Z progress engine Progress: 29/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:21Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent game differentials show inconsistent performance; optimizing lineup to boost run production and stabilize scoring.
2026-01-09THH24:32:22Z game engine Game 30: L 4-7
2026-01-09THH24:32:22Z progress engine Progress: 30/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:22Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [3, 5, 1, 4, 2, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent run differentials show inconsistency; optimizing lineup to boost early scoring potential.
2026-01-09THH24:32:22Z game engine Game 31: W 4-3
2026-01-09THH24:32:22Z progress engine Progress: 31/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:22Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent performance shows inconsistent run differentials; optimizing lineup to boost offensive consistency.
2026-01-09THH24:32:23Z game engine Game 32: L 3-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:23Z progress engine Progress: 32/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:23Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'changes': [{'player_id': 'lead_off', 'new_position': 1}, {'player_id': 'cleanup', 'new_position': 4}]} Recent run differential volatility suggests optimizing top-of-order OBP and middle-order power.
2026-01-09THH24:32:23Z game engine Game 33: W 9-3
2026-01-09THH24:32:23Z progress engine Progress: 33/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:23Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': ['highest_obp', 'highest_slg', 'best_contact', 'power_cleanup', 'balanced_5', 'vs_pitcher_hand', 'defensive_asset', 'speed_baserunner', 'pitcher']} Recent inconsistent scoring suggests optimizing lineup for on-base and power to generate more runs.
2026-01-09THH24:32:24Z game engine Game 34: L 4-7
2026-01-09THH24:32:24Z progress engine Progress: 34/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:24Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent inconsistent run differentials suggest lineup optimization needed to stabilize scoring.
2026-01-09THH24:32:24Z game engine Game 35: W 5-2
2026-01-09THH24:32:24Z progress engine Progress: 35/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:24Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [3, 5, 1, 4, 2, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Optimizing lineup based on recent performance trends to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:25Z game engine Game 36: L 5-6
2026-01-09THH24:32:25Z progress engine Progress: 36/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:25Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'optimize_for': 'matchups', 'shifts': ['move_hot_hitters_up', 'balance_lr_splits']} Recent inconsistent scoring suggests lineup optimization needed to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:25Z game engine Game 37: W 4-3
2026-01-09THH24:32:25Z progress engine Progress: 37/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:25Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent performance shows inconsistent scoring; optimizing lineup to maximize on-base and power potential.
2026-01-09THH24:32:26Z game engine Game 38: W 11-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:26Z progress engine Progress: 38/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:26Z decision agent adjust_mu {}
2026-01-09THH24:32:26Z game engine Game 39: W 6-5
2026-01-09THH24:32:26Z progress engine Progress: 39/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:26Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [3, 5, 7, 4, 2, 9, 1, 6, 8]} Optimize batting order based on recent performance trends to maximize run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:27Z game engine Game 40: L 4-5
2026-01-09THH24:32:27Z progress engine Progress: 40/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:27Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent run differentials show inconsistency; optimizing lineup to boost scoring efficiency.
2026-01-09THH24:32:27Z game engine Game 41: L 2-5
2026-01-09THH24:32:27Z progress engine Progress: 41/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:27Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Insufficient data to optimize; defaulting to standard order.
2026-01-09THH24:32:28Z game engine Game 42: L 2-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:28Z progress engine Progress: 42/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:28Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent close losses suggest lineup optimization needed to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:28Z game engine Game 43: W 5-2
2026-01-09THH24:32:28Z progress engine Progress: 43/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:28Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent losses suggest lineup optimization needed to boost offensive production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:28Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent losses suggest lineup optimization needed; default order for stability.
2026-01-09THH24:32:28Z game engine Game 45: W 6-2
2026-01-09THH24:32:28Z progress engine Progress: 45/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:28Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent inconsistent run differentials suggest lineup optimization needed to stabilize offense.
2026-01-09THH24:32:29Z game engine Game 44: L 2-5
2026-01-09THH24:32:29Z progress engine Progress: 44/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:29Z game engine Game 46: L 1-5
2026-01-09THH24:32:29Z progress engine Progress: 46/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:29Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent performance inconsistent; optimizing lineup to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:29Z game engine Game 47: L 4-5
2026-01-09THH24:32:29Z progress engine Progress: 47/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:29Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup': ['player_1', 'player_2', 'player_3', 'player_4', 'player_5', 'player_6', 'player_7', 'player_8', 'player_9'], 'order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent inconsistent run differentials suggest lineup optimization needed to stabilize offensive production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:30Z game engine Game 48: L 5-6
2026-01-09THH24:32:30Z progress engine Progress: 48/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:30Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'changes': [{'position': 'DH', 'player_id': 'best_contact_hitter'}, {'position': 'cleanup', 'player_id': 'highest_ops_vs_righties'}]} Recent close losses suggest need for better situational hitting; optimizing lineup to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:30Z game engine Game 49: W 5-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:30Z progress engine Progress: 49/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:32:30Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_order': [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]} Recent close losses suggest lineup optimization needed to boost run production.
2026-01-09THH24:32:31Z game engine Game 50: W 6-4
2026-01-09THH24:32:31Z progress engine Progress: 50/50 games complete