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Evaluation

gemini-3-flash

Team BAL

ID 6b47ca35 openrouter Started 2026-01-09THH24:21:49Z
Score
0.613
W / L
31 / 19
Run diff
58

Run overview

Model
gemini-3-flash (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Task
season_simulation_agent
Team
BAL
Agent
openrouter
Started
2026-01-09THH24:21:49Z
Completed
2026-01-09THH24:22:57Z
Notes
admin_start games=50 mu_for=4.981481481481482 mu_against=4.185185185185185 seed=None team=BAL season=2023 source=pybaseball

Games

Res For Against Diff Cum W-L
1 W 6 2 4 1-0
2 W 9 8 1 2-0
3 L 2 7 -5 2-1
4 W 4 3 1 3-1
5 W 8 3 5 4-1
6 L 4 5 -1 4-2
7 W 3 2 1 5-2
8 L 2 4 -2 5-3
9 W 11 9 2 6-3
10 W 4 1 3 7-3
11 W 9 3 6 8-3
12 W 8 3 5 9-3
13 W 8 7 1 10-3
14 W 4 3 1 11-3
15 L 1 2 -1 11-4
16 W 7 2 5 12-4
17 L 7 10 -3 12-6
18 L 4 8 -4 12-5
19 W 2 1 1 13-6
20 W 5 1 4 14-6
21 L 6 8 -2 14-7
22 W 6 4 2 15-7
23 W 6 4 2 16-7
24 W 7 1 6 17-7
25 W 3 0 3 18-7
26 L 3 4 -1 18-8
27 L 4 6 -2 18-9
28 W 5 1 4 19-9
29 W 4 3 1 20-9
30 W 6 2 4 21-9
31 L 4 5 -1 21-10
32 W 4 3 1 22-10
33 W 12 7 5 23-10
34 W 6 4 2 24-10
35 L 4 5 -1 24-11
36 W 9 4 5 25-11
37 L 2 3 -1 25-12
38 W 6 4 2 26-12
39 W 8 1 7 27-12
40 L 10 11 -1 27-13
41 L 4 5 -1 27-14
42 L 3 5 -2 27-15
43 W 7 5 2 28-15
44 W 10 7 3 29-15
45 L 2 3 -1 29-16
46 W 5 2 3 30-16
47 W 6 5 1 31-16
48 L 3 4 -1 31-17
49 L 7 8 -1 31-18
50 L 5 9 -4 31-19

Logs

Timestamp Type Role Message Rationale
2026-01-09THH24:22:57Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'lineup_type': 'standard', 'batting_order': ['leadoff_hitter', 'contact_hitter', 'power_hitter', 'cleanup_hitter', 'utility_hitter', 'defense_specialist', 'speed_specialist', 'bottom_order_1', 'bottom_order_2']} Optimizing batting order based on standard sabermetric principles to maximize run production.
2026-01-09THH24:22:57Z game engine Game 1: W 6-2
2026-01-09THH24:22:58Z progress engine Progress: 1/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:22:58Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_baserunning', 'intensity': 0.8} Leveraging positive momentum from recent run differentials to maximize scoring opportunities.
2026-01-09THH24:22:58Z game engine Game 2: W 9-8
2026-01-09THH24:22:58Z progress engine Progress: 2/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:22:58Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent positive run differentials suggest offensive momentum; optimizing the top of the lineup to maximize plate appearances for high-OPS hitters will sustain this trend.
2026-01-09THH24:22:59Z game engine Game 3: L 2-7
2026-01-09THH24:22:59Z progress engine Progress: 3/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:22:59Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_bullpen', 'reasoning': 'Recent -5 run differential suggests pitching instability'} Tightening bullpen usage to stabilize run prevention after a significant loss.
2026-01-09THH24:22:59Z game engine Game 4: W 4-3
2026-01-09THH24:22:59Z progress engine Progress: 4/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:22:59Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_bullpen', 'reasoning': 'Recent negative run differential in game 3 suggests a need for tighter pitching management to maintain slim leads.'} Optimizing bullpen usage to protect narrow leads following a -5 run differential performance.
2026-01-09THH24:23:00Z game engine Game 5: W 8-3
2026-01-09THH24:23:00Z progress engine Progress: 5/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:00Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent -5 run differential suggests a need to optimize run production efficiency despite overall positive trend.
2026-01-09THH24:23:00Z game engine Game 6: L 4-5
2026-01-09THH24:23:00Z progress engine Progress: 6/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:00Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_bullpen', 'reasoning': 'Recent inconsistent run differentials suggest a need for tighter late-game management.'} Stabilizing performance after alternating wins and losses by prioritizing high-leverage relief usage.
2026-01-09THH24:23:01Z game engine Game 7: W 3-2
2026-01-09THH24:23:01Z progress engine Progress: 7/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:01Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent run differential is inconsistent; optimizing the top of the lineup for higher OPS to increase run production stability.
2026-01-09THH24:23:01Z game engine Game 8: L 2-4
2026-01-09THH24:23:01Z progress engine Progress: 8/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:01Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_bullpen', 'leverage_threshold': 0.75} Recent narrow run differentials suggest a need for tighter late-game management to secure wins in close contests.
2026-01-09THH24:23:02Z game engine Game 9: W 11-9
2026-01-09THH24:23:02Z progress engine Progress: 9/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:02Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent run differentials show inconsistency; optimizing the top of the lineup for higher OPS to increase run production.
2026-01-09THH24:23:02Z game engine Game 10: W 4-1
2026-01-09THH24:23:02Z progress engine Progress: 10/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:02Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'maximize_ops_vs_rhp', 'batting_order': 'optimized'} Recent inconsistent run production suggests a need to optimize the batting order based on current performance metrics and platoon splits.
2026-01-09THH24:23:03Z game engine Game 11: W 9-3
2026-01-09THH24:23:03Z progress engine Progress: 11/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:03Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent positive run differentials suggest offensive momentum; optimizing the top of the lineup will maximize run production during this hot streak.
2026-01-09THH24:23:03Z game engine Game 12: W 8-3
2026-01-09THH24:23:03Z progress engine Progress: 12/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:03Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Positive run differential trend suggests maintaining offensive momentum while optimizing the top of the order for higher leverage situations.
2026-01-09THH24:23:04Z game engine Game 13: W 8-7
2026-01-09THH24:23:04Z progress engine Progress: 13/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:04Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_bullpen', 'reasoning': 'Maintaining momentum from recent positive run differentials'} Leveraging a +17 run differential over the last five games to solidify late-inning leads.
2026-01-09THH24:23:04Z game engine Game 14: W 4-3
2026-01-09THH24:23:04Z progress engine Progress: 14/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:05Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_baserunning', 'intensity': 0.8} Capitalizing on positive momentum and narrow run differentials to maximize scoring opportunities.
2026-01-09THH24:23:05Z game engine Game 15: L 1-2
2026-01-09THH24:23:05Z progress engine Progress: 15/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:05Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_bullpen', 'reasoning': 'Recent run differentials are narrowing, indicating a need for tighter late-game management to preserve wins.'} Trend shows decreasing margin of victory; prioritizing high-leverage relief usage to maintain positive momentum.
2026-01-09THH24:23:05Z game engine Game 16: W 7-2
2026-01-09THH24:23:05Z progress engine Progress: 16/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:06Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent run differentials show inconsistency; optimizing the top of the lineup to increase run production efficiency.
2026-01-09THH24:23:06Z game engine Game 18: L 4-8
2026-01-09THH24:23:06Z progress engine Progress: 18/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:06Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent negative run differentials suggest a need to re-optimize the batting order to maximize run production.
2026-01-09THH24:23:07Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent performance shows positive run differential but a narrow loss; optimizing lineup to maximize run production efficiency.
2026-01-09THH24:23:07Z game engine Game 17: L 7-10
2026-01-09THH24:23:07Z progress engine Progress: 17/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:07Z game engine Game 19: W 2-1
2026-01-09THH24:23:07Z progress engine Progress: 19/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:07Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'maximize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent negative run differentials suggest a need to optimize run production by reordering the lineup for higher OPS efficiency.
2026-01-09THH24:23:07Z game engine Game 20: W 5-1
2026-01-09THH24:23:07Z progress engine Progress: 20/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:08Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent negative run differentials suggest a need to optimize run production by reordering the lineup for maximum OPS efficiency.
2026-01-09THH24:23:08Z game engine Game 21: L 6-8
2026-01-09THH24:23:08Z progress engine Progress: 21/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:08Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Negative run differential in 3 of last 5 games suggests a need to optimize run production efficiency at the top of the lineup.
2026-01-09THH24:23:08Z game engine Game 22: W 6-4
2026-01-09THH24:23:08Z progress engine Progress: 22/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:09Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'target_batters': 'top_6'} Recent run differentials show inconsistency; re-ordering the lineup to maximize plate appearances for high-OPS hitters to stabilize offensive output.
2026-01-09THH24:23:09Z game engine Game 23: W 6-4
2026-01-09THH24:23:09Z progress engine Progress: 23/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:09Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'maximize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent positive run differential suggests offensive momentum; optimizing the top of the lineup to capitalize on high-leverage plate appearances.
2026-01-09THH24:23:09Z game engine Game 24: W 7-1
2026-01-09THH24:23:09Z progress engine Progress: 24/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:10Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent positive run differential suggests offensive momentum; optimizing the top of the lineup to maximize plate appearances for high-OPS hitters.
2026-01-09THH24:23:10Z game engine Game 25: W 3-0
2026-01-09THH24:23:10Z progress engine Progress: 25/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:10Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_bullpen', 'reasoning': 'Leveraging positive momentum from a 4-1 recent stretch to maximize win probability in close games.'} Team has a +11 run differential over the last five games; tightening late-game management sustains this trend.
2026-01-09THH24:23:10Z game engine Game 26: L 3-4
2026-01-09THH24:23:10Z progress engine Progress: 26/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:11Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_baserunning', 'reasoning': 'positive_momentum'} Leveraging a 4-1 recent record and positive run differential to maintain offensive pressure.
2026-01-09THH24:23:11Z game engine Game 27: L 4-6
2026-01-09THH24:23:11Z progress engine Progress: 27/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:11Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent negative run differentials suggest a need to optimize run production by reordering the lineup for higher OBP at the top.
2026-01-09THH24:23:11Z game engine Game 28: W 5-1
2026-01-09THH24:23:11Z progress engine Progress: 28/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:12Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_baserunning', 'defensive_alignment': 'standard'} Recent performance shows a positive run differential trend; increasing aggression to capitalize on momentum and maximize run production.
2026-01-09THH24:23:12Z game engine Game 29: W 4-3
2026-01-09THH24:23:12Z progress engine Progress: 29/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:12Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_baserunning', 'focus': 'on-base_percentage'} Recent run differentials show inconsistency; shifting to a high-OBP strategy to stabilize run production.
2026-01-09THH24:23:12Z game engine Game 30: W 6-2
2026-01-09THH24:23:12Z progress engine Progress: 30/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:13Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent positive run differentials suggest offensive momentum; optimizing the top of the lineup will maximize run production efficiency.
2026-01-09THH24:23:13Z game engine Game 31: L 4-5
2026-01-09THH24:23:13Z progress engine Progress: 31/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:13Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent negative run differentials in two of the last five games suggest a need to optimize run production efficiency at the top of the lineup.
2026-01-09THH24:23:13Z game engine Game 32: W 4-3
2026-01-09THH24:23:13Z progress engine Progress: 32/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:14Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent run differentials are positive but narrow; optimizing the top of the lineup aims to capitalize on high-leverage scoring opportunities.
2026-01-09THH24:23:14Z game engine Game 33: W 12-7
2026-01-09THH24:23:14Z progress engine Progress: 33/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:14Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_bullpen', 'reasoning': 'positive_run_differential_momentum'} Leveraging a +10 run differential over the last five games to optimize bullpen usage and maintain winning momentum.
2026-01-09THH24:23:14Z game engine Game 34: W 6-4
2026-01-09THH24:23:14Z progress engine Progress: 34/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:15Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_baserunning', 'intensity': 0.8} Positive run differential trend suggests maintaining momentum by increasing pressure on opposing defenses.
2026-01-09THH24:23:15Z game engine Game 35: L 4-5
2026-01-09THH24:23:15Z progress engine Progress: 35/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:15Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent one-run losses suggest a need to optimize run production efficiency at the top of the lineup.
2026-01-09THH24:23:15Z game engine Game 36: W 9-4
2026-01-09THH24:23:15Z progress engine Progress: 36/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:16Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_baserunning', 'intensity': 0.8} Positive run differential trend suggests high team momentum; increasing aggression to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
2026-01-09THH24:23:16Z game engine Game 37: L 2-3
2026-01-09THH24:23:16Z progress engine Progress: 37/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:16Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_baserunning', 'reasoning': 'positive_run_differential'} Leveraging a +10 run differential over the last five games to maintain offensive pressure.
2026-01-09THH24:23:16Z game engine Game 38: W 6-4
2026-01-09THH24:23:16Z progress engine Progress: 38/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:17Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent performance shows inconsistent run production (two 1-run losses); re-optimizing the lineup to maximize high-OPS plate appearances.
2026-01-09THH24:23:17Z game engine Game 39: W 8-1
2026-01-09THH24:23:17Z progress engine Progress: 39/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:17Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent performance shows inconsistent run production in close losses; optimizing the top of the lineup for higher OBP will leverage the current +12 run differential over the last five games.
2026-01-09THH24:23:17Z game engine Game 40: L 10-11
2026-01-09THH24:23:17Z progress engine Progress: 40/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:18Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent performance shows high variance; optimizing the top of the lineup for OPS will stabilize run production and capitalize on positive run differentials.
2026-01-09THH24:23:18Z game engine Game 41: L 4-5
2026-01-09THH24:23:18Z progress engine Progress: 41/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:18Z decision agent adjust_mu {'strategy': 'aggressive_bullpen', 'focus': 'high_leverage_efficiency'} Recent one-run losses indicate a need to optimize late-inning matchups to preserve narrow leads or deficits.
2026-01-09THH24:23:18Z game engine Game 42: L 3-5
2026-01-09THH24:23:18Z progress engine Progress: 42/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:19Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'increase_obp', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent three-game losing streak with low run production suggests a need to optimize on-base percentage at the top of the lineup.
2026-01-09THH24:23:19Z game engine Game 43: W 7-5
2026-01-09THH24:23:19Z progress engine Progress: 43/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:19Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_obp', 'reasoning': 'Recent narrow losses indicate a need for higher base-runner frequency to capitalize on scoring opportunities.'} Three losses by a combined 4 runs suggest the offense is close but needs better sequencing and on-base percentage to flip the result.
2026-01-09THH24:23:19Z game engine Game 44: W 10-7
2026-01-09THH24:23:19Z progress engine Progress: 44/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:20Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent negative run differentials suggest a need to optimize run production by reordering the lineup for higher OBP at the top.
2026-01-09THH24:23:20Z game engine Game 45: L 2-3
2026-01-09THH24:23:20Z progress engine Progress: 45/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:20Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent negative run differentials suggest a need to maximize run production efficiency by reordering the lineup based on current OBP and SLG trends.
2026-01-09THH24:23:20Z game engine Game 46: W 5-2
2026-01-09THH24:23:20Z progress engine Progress: 46/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:21Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'maximize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Recent run differentials show inconsistency; optimizing the top of the lineup for higher OPS will increase run production stability.
2026-01-09THH24:23:21Z game engine Game 47: W 6-5
2026-01-09THH24:23:21Z progress engine Progress: 47/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:21Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'maximize_ops', 'focus': 'top_of_order'} Team is trending positively with a 4-1 record in the last five games; optimizing the lineup core will sustain offensive momentum.
2026-01-09THH24:23:21Z game engine Game 48: L 3-4
2026-01-09THH24:23:21Z progress engine Progress: 48/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:22Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_ops_vs_rhp', 'lineup_type': 'standard'} Recent performance shows inconsistent run production; re-optimizing the lineup for OPS against right-handed pitching to stabilize offensive output.
2026-01-09THH24:23:22Z game engine Game 49: L 7-8
2026-01-09THH24:23:22Z progress engine Progress: 49/50 games complete
2026-01-09THH24:23:22Z decision agent adjust_lineup {'strategy': 'optimize_obp', 'target_batters': 'top_of_order'} Recent negative run differentials suggest a need to optimize on-base percentage at the top of the lineup to increase run production.
2026-01-09THH24:23:23Z game engine Game 50: L 5-9
2026-01-09THH24:23:23Z progress engine Progress: 50/50 games complete